Syria is Preparing for War
Recently, Homeland Security Secretary Michael Chertoff claimed to have a “gut feeling” about heightened attacks this summer. I kept wondering, what is so special about “this summer” and what could be the source of his nonspecific concern? Perhaps this is the reason.
After last years disastrous failure of Israel to quickly and decisively win the war against Hezbollah, Syrian President Bashar Assad seems to think the time is right to finish off Israel once and for all. In an effort to provoke Israel they have ordered them to vacate the Golan Heights by September. Since the Golan Heights is the best offensive and defensive position in the area it is not likely Israel will freely turn it over to Syria.
Syria is also demanding that Israel agree to a right of return for the Palestinian refugees which includes full Israeli citizenship. A bold demand for sure and one that would lead to national suicide if Israel accepted that many refugees. To do so would immediately make Israel an Arab state by the force of mere numbers. Arabs would instantly make up an overwhelming majority at which they could either vote the state of Israel out of existence or overthrow the Israeli government by force from within.
Syria knows that Israel can’t accept either demand which virtually guarantees that Damascus has already made its decision for war. They now believe that they can win and would like to provoke Israel into making a first strike. World opinion you know.
“It has been confirmed that a transfer of sophisticated weapons by Syria and Iran across the Lebanese-Syrian border, including long range rockets and anti-tank and anti-aircraft systems, occurs on a weekly basis.” -Ban ki-Moon United Nations Secretary General
So at this very moment the Syrians are positioning themselves for war with their sights set on the end of this summer. A bleak horizon indeed for the Jewish state as they now must consider the possibility of a five front war. Just for a start they would be facing Syria, Hamas, Hezbollah, Al Qaeda and Iran. Who knows what other Arab states may decide to enter once it gets going.
What does that mean for the US? It would not be out of the realm of possibility that attacks could begin inside the US as a diversion in order to get the US to worry about itself and not so much Israel. This could be the point where not securing the US borders to illegal crossing will pay dividends to the enemy.
So, with the US busy who else would be in a position or even have the inclination to help Israel during an all out Arab offensive?
Of course an all out attack of this type would be a fatal miscalculation by Syria because they would force Israel to respond with everything they have. In the past I have heard Israeli prime ministers speak of something called the Sampson Option. This is the willingness to destroy all or part of yourself in order to destroy your enemy. I can imagine that Israel would pay a heavy price if Syria continues, but I can also imagine Damascus would come out of it as nothing more than a cinder after a nuclear strike.
We can’t deny that these events are happening and unless you are a prophet who can predict where they will lead. Many things can happen that could prevent war as it is not etched in stone, but for now there is definitely a faint chalk outline.